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Tag: predictions

Prediction for VP Debate

Posted by Kevin Smith – 10/1/08

Well, I was definitely wrong about the first debate, and I’ll own up to that. No promises here, but I’ve got a prediction about the VP debate. Get ready for it!

Ready?

The best I’m hoping for is great comic fodder, from either of them. Last Friday’s debate didn’t give SNL much to work with, and the resulting skit was pretty ho hum. I don’t think Sarah Palin will impress many, given her lackluster performance in recent interviews. Now, I know she’s not experienced with the national press going for the jugular as they do with all candidates, but still, I was hoping for more. I’ll temper that statement by saying that I like her regardless of her performance. Unlike an apparently large swath of the electorate, I don’t make my voting decisions based on the feel-goodiness of the candidate. As I’ve said before, I look at their stated beliefs and promises, and then compare their political and public track record with those beliefs and promises. Running Gov. Palin through that rubric brings me a great level of satisfaction.

That doesn’t mean I think she’ll do well in the debate. But I’m willing to be wrong about this. Once the debate’s over, you can expect the standard issue spin from both camps, just like we’re seeing in the pre-debate positioning now. At this stage in the game, I think Palin is, as many have said, a partisan rorschach test. Same with Obama, to be honest. If you don’t want to like them, nothing they do will change that. If you love either of them, you’re bound to be impressed by even a sneeze. Anyway, those are my pre-debate thoughts.

Oh, and I think Joe Biden is supposed to be there, too.

Prediction on First Debate

Posted by Kevin Smith – 9/26/08

My prediction for tonight’s first presidential debate: Obama comes off looking childish and ignorant. Why? Because he’s taken 3 days to study up on foreign policy — you know, so he doesn’t make any more powerful declarations like the one concerning the US not having enough Arabic translators in Afghanistan. Because of the recent economic turmoil, the topics of the debate will shift dramatically to issues of economics rather than foreign policy, and Obama doesn’t have his trusty teleprompter tonight.

On a somewhat related issue, apparently the meeting at the White House yesterday saw McCain showing quiet support for John Boehner and the House Republicans’ plan to have Wall Street bail itself out rather than force Main Street to foot the bill. But here’s what’s ridiculous: The Dems agree with Bush on this bailout, and they’ve got a majority to pass this bill. Hear me: there is no need to have Republican support for this bailout, they’ve got the votes to pass it. So why do the Dems act as if it’s necessary? Because they know it’s a bad idea that’s being rushed through to make Congress look effective, and in a year or so when history proves it, the Dems don’t want to have gone down in flames all by themselves. They’re setting it up so they can rewrite history on this bailout just like they rewrote history on the failed policies that caused this problem in the first place.